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Week 14 •
LaVell Edwards Stadium

UCF21 @FINAL 41BYU

5-6 Big 12 Power rating: 9.3
10-1 Big 12 Power rating: 19.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BYU -17.5
PM Implied
BYU -13.7
Blue Chip model
BYU -14.7
Edge
-2.9UCF
See details
◂ favors UCFfavors BYU ▸Market: BYU -17.5
10.2 › BYU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BYU
no impact
BYU
BYU
UCF
1 UCF1 BYU2 UCF2 BYU3 UCF3 BYUModel: BYU -14.7

Betting information

Spread
BYU -17.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
UCF 14.5 – 32.0 BYU
Prediction markets
BYU 90% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

BYU defeated UCF 41–21 to secure a comfortable win. BYU covered by 2.5; Game went Over by 15.5. The market closed at BYU -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it BYU -14.7, an edge of 2.9 points toward UCF.

What were the weather conditions for UCF vs BYU?

At kickoff, conditions at LaVell Edwards Stadium were Clear, 33°F, wind chill 31°F with winds of 1 mph. At 33°F, cold is worth noting but is unlikely to be decisive. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UCF travels 1,903 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

BYU won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

BYU covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 15.5 points.

How do UCF and BYU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor BYU (19.5) over UCF (9.3) by 10.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. BYU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UCF and BYU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

BYU won and BYU covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 29, 2025 Game-time

Clear

33°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity63%
Wind1 mph SW
Gusts2 mph
Wind chill31°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UCF at BYU: aerial view of LaVell Edwards Stadium, wind from the SW at 1.1 mph, gusting to 2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM MST
Venue
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Capacity
62,073
Elevation
4,678 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

UCFAway BYUHome
This week1,903 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,886 miles
Season total10,182 miles11,761 miles
Body clock13:0011:00
Rest7 days6 days

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