Week 12
Doak Campbell Stadium

Virginia Tech14 @FINAL 34Florida State , Week 12, Nov 16, 2025

3-6 ACC Power rating: 2.8
4-5 ACC Power rating: 15.2

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FSU -14.5
PM Implied
FSU -10.0
Blue Chip model
FSU -14.7
Edge
+0.2FSU
See details
◂ favors VTfavors FSU ▸Market: FSU -14.5
12.4 › FSU
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FSU
VT
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1 VT1 FSU2 VT2 FSU3 VT3 FSUModel: FSU -14.7

Betting information

Spread
FSU -14.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
VT 20.5 – 35.0 FSU
Prediction markets
FSU 84% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Florida State defeated Virginia Tech 34–14 to secure a comfortable win. Florida State covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 7.5. The market closed at Florida State -14.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida State -14.7. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Virginia Tech vs Florida State?

At kickoff, conditions at Doak Campbell Stadium were Clear, 63°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Virginia Tech travels 518 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Florida State won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Florida State covered the spread.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do Virginia Tech and Florida State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida State (15.2) over Virginia Tech (2.8) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Florida State won and Florida State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 16, 2025 Game-time

Clear

63°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity73%
Wind5 mph WSW
Gusts10 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Virginia Tech at Florida State: aerial view of Doak Campbell Stadium, wind from the WSW at 4.7 mph, gusting to 9.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
95 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure Virginia TechAway Florida StateHome
This week518 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week609 miles
Season total2,099 miles6,271 miles
Body clock19:3019:30
Rest15 days7 days