Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
3-6
ACC
Power Rank: 2.8
14 FINAL 34
4-5
ACC
Power Rank: 15.2
Florida State covered by 6.5 | Game went Under by 6.5

Florida State defeated Virginia Tech 34–14 to secure a comfortable win.

Virginia Tech @ Florida State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EST
Stadium: Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Elevation: 95 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Florida State -13.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score VT 20.5 - 34.0 FSU
Power Rank Implied Line Florida State +12.4
Prediction Markets Florida State 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

27.9°F

Wind Chill: 21.9°F
Wind: 5.6 mph NW
Gusts: 9.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 46%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Virginia Tech (Away)

This Week: 518.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2335.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 15

Florida State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 608.8 miles
Season Total: 6529.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Florida State -13.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Virginia Tech 2.8
Florida State 15.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 518 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Virginia Tech +7
HFA: Doak Campbell Stadium
Capacity 50,000
Elevation 95 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 27.9°F
Wind Speed 5.6 mph
Your Line Florida State +12.4
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Virginia Tech vs Florida State?

Virginia Tech: Key Factors

Florida State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Virginia Tech travels 518 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Florida State won by 20 to secure a comfortable win.

Florida State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Doak Campbell Stadium?

At 27.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Virginia Tech and Florida State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Florida State (15.2) over Virginia Tech (2.8) by 12.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Florida State won and Florida State covered the spread.