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Week 12 •
McLane Stadium

Utah55 @FINAL 28Baylor

7-2 Big 12 Power rating: 22.4
5-4 Big 12 Power rating: 11.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTAH -9.5
PM Implied
UTAH -7.1
Blue Chip model
UTAH -8.8
Edge
+0.7BAY
See details
◂ favors UTAHfavors BAY ▸Market: UTAH -9.5
‹ 11.2 UTAH
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BAY
no impact
BAY
no impact
BAY
1 UTAH1 BAY2 UTAH2 BAYModel: UTAH -8.8

Betting information

Spread
UTAH -9.5
Total
60.5
Odds implied score
UTAH 35.0 – 25.5 BAY
Prediction markets
UTAH 75% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Utah defeated Baylor 55–28 to secure a comfortable win. Utah covered by 17.5; Game went Over by 22.5. The market closed at Utah -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Utah -8.8. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Utah vs Baylor?

At kickoff, conditions at McLane Stadium were Clear, 66°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Utah travels 1,037 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Utah arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Utah won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

Utah covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 22.5 points.

How do Utah and Baylor compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah (22.4) over Baylor (11.2) by 11.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Baylor faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Baylor brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Utah and Baylor?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Utah won and Utah covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 16, 2025 Game-time

Clear

66°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity89%
Wind13 mph S
Gusts25 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Utah at Baylor: aerial view of McLane Stadium, wind from the S at 13 mph, gusting to 25.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CST
Venue
McLane Stadium
Capacity
45,140
Elevation
404 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

UtahAway BaylorHome
This week1,037 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total6,274 miles2,734 miles
Body clock17:0018:00
Rest14 days15 days

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