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Week 12 •
Autzen Stadium

Minnesota13 @FINAL 42Oregon

6-3 Big Ten Power rating: 4.6
8-1 Big Ten Power rating: 28.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ORE -26.5
PM Implied
ORE -17.9
Blue Chip model
ORE -26.0
Edge
-0.5MINN
See details
◂ favors MINNfavors ORE ▸Market: ORE -26.5
23.9 › ORE
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ORE
MINN
ORE
no impact
no impact
1 MINN1 ORE2 MINN2 OREModel: ORE -26.0

Betting information

Spread
ORE -26.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
MINN 10.0 – 36.5 ORE
Prediction markets
ORE 95% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Oregon defeated Minnesota 42–13 in a dominant performance. Oregon covered by 2.5; Game went Over by 8.5. The market closed at Oregon -26.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Oregon -26.0. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Minnesota vs Oregon?

At kickoff, conditions at Autzen Stadium were Overcast, 54°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Minnesota travels 1,467 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Oregon won by 29 in a dominant performance.

Oregon covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 8.5 points.

How do Minnesota and Oregon compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Oregon (28.5) over Minnesota (4.6) by 23.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Oregon brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Minnesota and Oregon?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Oregon won and Oregon covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

54°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind3 mph SSE
Gusts5 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Minnesota at Oregon: aerial view of Autzen Stadium, wind from the SSE at 2.7 mph, gusting to 4.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM PST
Venue
Autzen Stadium
Capacity
54,000
Elevation
443 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

MinnesotaAway OregonHome
This week1,467 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week3,198 miles
Season total6,354 miles16,285 miles
Body clock20:0018:00
Rest14 days7 days

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