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Week 12 •
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Maryland6 @FINAL 24Illinois

4-5 Big Ten Power rating: 4.6
6-3 Big Ten Power rating: 16.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ILL -16.5
PM Implied
ILL -10.9
Blue Chip model
ILL -14.5
Edge
-2.0MD
See details
◂ favors MDfavors ILL ▸Market: ILL -16.5
11.5 › ILL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ILL
ILL
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 MD1 ILL2 MD2 ILLModel: ILL -14.5

Betting information

Spread
ILL -16.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
MD 17.5 – 34.0 ILL
Prediction markets
ILL 86% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Illinois defeated Maryland 24–6 to secure a comfortable win. Illinois covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 21.5. The market closed at Illinois -16.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Illinois -14.5, an edge of 2.0 points toward Maryland.

What were the weather conditions for Maryland vs Illinois?

At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) were Clear, 55°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Maryland travels 607 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Maryland arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Illinois won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Illinois covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 21.5 points.

How do Maryland and Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Illinois (16.1) over Maryland (4.6) by 11.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Illinois brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Maryland and Illinois?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Illinois won and Illinois covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Clear

55°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity89%
Wind9 mph WNW
Gusts18 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Maryland at Illinois: aerial view of Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL), wind from the WNW at 8.5 mph, gusting to 17.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CST
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Capacity
60,670
Elevation
771 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

MarylandAway IllinoisHome
This week607 miles0 miles
Last week338 milesBye week
Season total6,956 miles5,056 miles
Body clock15:3014:30
Rest7 days14 days

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