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Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
Maryland @ Illinois
4-5
Big Ten
Power Rank: 4.6
6 FINAL 24
6-3
Big Ten
Power Rank: 16.1
Illinois covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 23.5

By · Last updated

Illinois defeated Maryland 24–6 to secure a comfortable win.

Maryland @ Illinois Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Capacity: 60,670
Elevation: 771 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Illinois -14.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score MD 19.5 - 34.0 ILL
Power Rank Implied Line Illinois +11.5
Prediction Markets Illinois 86% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow

Light snow

25.7°F

Wind Chill: 16.5°F
Wind: 8.9 mph NW
Gusts: 14.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 93%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 21%

Travel & Rest

Maryland (Away)

This Week: 607.3 miles
Last Week: 337.7 miles
Season Total: 7745.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Illinois (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5055.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Illinois -14.5
Total Points 53.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Maryland 4.6
Illinois 16.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 607 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Illinois +7
HFA: Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Capacity 60,670
Elevation 771 ft
Weather: Light snow
Temperature 25.7°F
Wind Speed 8.9 mph
Your Line Illinois +11.5
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Maryland vs Illinois?

Maryland: Key Factors

Illinois: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Maryland travels 607 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Maryland arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Illinois won by 18 to secure a comfortable win.

Illinois covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 23.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)?

At 25.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 74%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Maryland and Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Illinois (16.1) over Maryland (4.6) by 11.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Illinois brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Maryland and Illinois?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Illinois won and Illinois covered the spread.