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Week 12 •
Yulman Stadium

Florida Atlantic24 @FINAL 35Tulane

4-5 American Power rating: -9.9
7-2 American Power rating: 4.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TULN -16.5
PM Implied
TULN -13.0
Blue Chip model
TULN -17.6
Edge
+1.1TULN
See details
◂ favors FAUfavors TULN ▸Market: TULN -16.5
14.6 › TULN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TULN
no impact
TULN
no impact
no impact
1 FAU1 TULN2 FAU2 TULN3 FAU3 TULNModel: TULN -17.6

Betting information

Spread
TULN -16.5
Total
60.5
Odds implied score
FAU 22.0 – 38.5 TULN
Prediction markets
TULN 89% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Tulane defeated Florida Atlantic 35–24 in a double-digit victory. Florida Atlantic covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at Tulane -16.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Tulane -17.6, an edge of 1.1 points toward Tulane.

What are the key factors for Florida Atlantic vs Tulane?

Florida Atlantic

Offensive Efficiency Despite Loss

FAU's offense showed resilience, with quarterback Caden Veltkamp throwing for 375 yards and a touchdown, and the team converting multiple fourth-down opportunities into scores. However, they struggled in the red zone, settling for a field goal after a penalty nullified a touchdown, and failed to capitalize on early drives.

Defensive Struggles Against Tulane's Rushing Attack

FAU's defense allowed Tulane to rush for 94 yards and a touchdown on just 10 carries by Jamauri McClure, and gave up big plays including a 29-yard touchdown pass on fourth down. The defense also failed to force turnovers, while committing a costly penalty that negated a potential touchdown.

Special Teams Miscue Proves Costly

A muffed punt by Easton Messer in the first quarter led to a short field for Tulane, resulting in a quick touchdown that gave the Green Wave an early lead. This mistake shifted momentum and put FAU in a deficit they could not overcome.

Late Game Rally Shows Fight

Despite trailing by 18 points in the fourth quarter, FAU mounted a 17-play, 75-yard touchdown drive and later added a touchdown and two-point conversion to cut the lead to 11. This resilience suggests the team can compete in close games if they avoid early errors.

Playoff Hopes Diminished

With the loss, FAU falls to 4-6 overall and 3-4 in conference play, making a bowl game unlikely. The team must win its remaining games to become eligible, putting pressure on the offense to maintain its passing efficiency while the defense needs to tighten up against the run.

What were the weather conditions for Florida Atlantic vs Tulane?

At kickoff, conditions at Yulman Stadium were Partly cloudy, 68°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida Atlantic travels 658 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Florida Atlantic arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Tulane won by 11 in a double-digit victory.

Florida Atlantic covered the spread.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do Florida Atlantic and Tulane compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Tulane (4.7) over Florida Atlantic (-9.9) by 14.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Tulane brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida Atlantic and Tulane?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Tulane won and Florida Atlantic covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity73%
Wind8 mph SW
Gusts15 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Florida Atlantic at Tulane: aerial view of Yulman Stadium, wind from the SW at 7.8 mph, gusting to 14.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM CST
Venue
Yulman Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
16 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Florida AtlanticAway TulaneHome
This week658 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game713 miles
Season total6,608 miles3,676 miles
Body clock16:0015:00
Rest7 days7 days

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