DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Clemson defeated Florida State 24–10 in a double-digit victory. Clemson covered by 12.5; Game went Under by 22.5. The market closed at Clemson -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida State -3.2 - a gap of 4.7 points toward Florida State, of which 4.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Florida State 5.5 points stronger on a neutral field.
Florida State had two promising first-half drives end inside Clemson's 8-yard line due to a fourth-down stop and a fumble, failing to capitalize on early chances. Coach Norvell emphasized that these missed opportunities were the difference in the game.
The Seminoles were held to season lows in total yards (360), rushing yards (110), and points (10) against a Clemson defense that had struggled in previous weeks. Quarterback Castellanos threw for 203 yards but also had an interception and a fumble.
Down 24-7 in the fourth quarter, Florida State was pushed back by offensive pass interference and unnecessary roughness penalties, derailing any chance of a rally. Discipline remains an issue.
The Seminoles (4-5) need to win two of their remaining three games against Virginia Tech, NC State, and Florida to reach a bowl game after missing out last year. This loss puts added pressure on the upcoming matchup.
Despite forcing a fourth-down stop and a fumble in the first half, the defense allowed 24 points and couldn't overcome the offense's struggles. The unit will need to step up further against Virginia Tech.
At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) were Cloudy, 62°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Cloudy
62°F
| Measure | Florida StateAway | ClemsonHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 304 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 5,967 miles | 2,324 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 8 days |
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