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Week 11 •
FAU Stadium

Tulsa21 @FINAL 40Florida Atlantic

2-6 American Power rating: -12.6
3-5 American Power rating: -10.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FAU -4.5
PM Implied
FAU -3.3
Blue Chip model
FAU -4.6
Edge
+0.1FAU
See details
◂ favors TLSAfavors FAU ▸Market: FAU -4.5
FAU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
FAU
no impact
FAU
no impact
FAU
1 TLSA1 FAU2 TLSA2 FAUModel: FAU -4.6

Betting information

Spread
FAU -4.5
Total
60.5
Odds implied score
TLSA 28.0 – 32.5 FAU
Prediction markets
FAU 63% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Florida Atlantic defeated Tulsa 40–21 to secure a comfortable win. Florida Atlantic covered by 14.5; Game went Over by 0.5. The market closed at Florida Atlantic -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Florida Atlantic -4.6. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic?

Florida Atlantic

Dominant First Half Performance

FAU built a 31-6 halftime lead, fueled by a 95-yard fumble return for a touchdown by Damarius McGhee and three touchdown passes from Caden Veltkamp. This early dominance set the tone for the game and showcased the team's ability to capitalize on turnovers.

Balanced Offensive Attack

Quarterback Caden Veltkamp threw for 272 yards and three touchdowns, while Kaden Shields-Dutton rushed for 107 yards on 10 carries. The offense also featured big plays, including a 47-yard touchdown pass to Jayshon Platt and multiple scoring connections with Easton Messer.

Defensive Playmaking

The defense forced two interceptions and recovered a fumble, which was returned for a touchdown. This turnover margin was critical in building the large lead and limiting Tulsa's scoring opportunities.

Improved Record and Momentum

With the win, FAU improved to 4-5 overall and 3-3 in the American Conference, keeping bowl eligibility hopes alive. The team's strong performance, especially in the first half, provides positive momentum heading into the next game.

What were the weather conditions for Tulsa vs Florida Atlantic?

At kickoff, conditions at FAU Stadium were Partly cloudy, 79°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Tulsa travels 1,152 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Tulsa arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Florida Atlantic won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Florida Atlantic covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do Tulsa and Florida Atlantic compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Florida Atlantic (-10.8) over Tulsa (-12.6) by 1.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Florida Atlantic brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tulsa and Florida Atlantic?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Florida Atlantic won and Florida Atlantic covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

79°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity79%
Wind7 mph E
Gusts9 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Tulsa at Florida Atlantic: aerial view of FAU Stadium, wind from the E at 6.9 mph, gusting to 9.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM EST
Venue
FAU Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
16 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

TulsaAway Florida AtlanticHome
This week1,152 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total5,392 miles5,950 miles
Body clock14:0015:00
Rest14 days14 days

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