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Week 11 •
Aggie Memorial Stadium

Kennesaw State24 @FINAL 21New Mexico State

6-2 CUSA Power rating: -1.3
3-5 CUSA Power rating: -17.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
KENN -11.5
PM Implied
KENN -7.6
Blue Chip model
KENN -12.6
Edge
-1.1KENN
See details
◂ favors KENNfavors NMSU ▸Market: KENN -11.5
‹ 15.8 KENN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NMSU
KENN
NMSU
NMSU
no impact
1 KENN1 NMSU2 KENN2 NMSUModel: KENN -12.6

Betting information

Spread
KENN -11.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
KENN 32.0 – 20.5 NMSU
Prediction markets
KENN 77% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Kennesaw State defeated New Mexico State 24–21 in a nail-biter. New Mexico State covered by 8.5; Game went Under by 7.5. The market closed at Kennesaw State -11.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Kennesaw State -12.6, an edge of 1.1 points toward Kennesaw State.

What were the weather conditions for Kennesaw State vs New Mexico State?

At kickoff, conditions at Aggie Memorial Stadium were Clear, 63°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kennesaw State travels 1,286 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Kennesaw State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

New Mexico State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do Kennesaw State and New Mexico State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kennesaw State (-1.3) over New Mexico State (-17.1) by 15.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Kennesaw State and New Mexico State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Kennesaw State won and New Mexico State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Clear

63°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity26%
Wind6 mph W
Gusts13 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Kennesaw State at New Mexico State: aerial view of Aggie Memorial Stadium, wind from the W at 6.3 mph, gusting to 13.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM MST
Venue
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Capacity
28,853
Elevation
3,970 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Kennesaw StateAway New Mexico StateHome
This week1,286 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,395 miles
Season total3,849 miles7,625 miles
Body clock16:0014:00
Rest10 days7 days

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