DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Arkansas State defeated Troy 23–10 in a double-digit victory. Arkansas State covered by 20.5; Game went Under by 19.5. The market closed at Troy -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Troy -5.6, an edge of 1.9 points toward Arkansas State. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Troy 3.8 points stronger on a neutral field.
Arkansas State recorded 12 tackles for loss and 9 sacks, with Demarcus Hendricks leading with 2 sacks. This defensive pressure disrupted Troy's offense and forced a fumble recovery, setting up a quick touchdown.
Quarterback Jaylen Raynor completed 21 of 29 passes for 247 yards and 2 touchdowns, including a 4-yard TD to Tyler Fortenberry and a 19-yard TD to Hunter Summers. His accuracy and decision-making were key to building an early 17-0 lead.
The Red Wolves scored 17 points in the first quarter, including a touchdown on their opening drive and another after a fumble recovery. This early dominance forced Troy to play catch-up and set the tone for the game.
With the win, Arkansas State improved to 4-1 in Sun Belt play, tying Troy for second place in the West Division. This positions them well for a potential conference title push, especially with a game against idle Southern Miss looming.
The offense was efficient, with Raynor spreading the ball effectively and the running game complementing the pass. The team's ability to sustain drives and capitalize on defensive turnovers was crucial in securing the 23-10 victory.
At kickoff, conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) were Clear, 49°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
49°F
| Measure | Arkansas StateAway | TroyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 389 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 2,617 miles | 4,439 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 8 days |
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