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Week 10 •
Pratt & Whitney Stadium

UAB19 @FINAL 38UConn

3-4 American Power rating: -10.2
5-3 Independent Power rating: -2.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
CONN -10.0
PM Implied
CONN -9.1
Blue Chip model
CONN -10.2
Edge
+0.2CONN
See details
◂ favors UABfavors CONN ▸Market: CONN -10.0
7.4 › CONN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CONN
UAB
CONN
no impact
UAB
2 UAB2 CONN4 UAB4 CONNModel: CONN -10.2

Betting information

Spread
CONN -10.0
Total
61.5
Odds implied score
UAB 25.8 – 35.8 CONN
Prediction markets
CONN 81% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UConn defeated UAB 38–19 to secure a comfortable win. UConn covered by 9.0; Game went Under by 4.5. The market closed at UConn -10.0 and the Blue Chip model made it UConn -10.2. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for UAB vs UConn?

UAB

Turnover Troubles Continue

UAB committed three interceptions, all by quarterback Ryder Burton, which directly led to UConn's 24-0 halftime lead. This marks a recurring issue for the Blazers, as turnovers have been a key factor in their losses.

Offensive Bright Spots Despite Loss

Ryder Burton threw for 209 yards and two touchdowns, while Brandon Hawkins Jr. contributed both a rushing and receiving touchdown. The offense showed ability to move the ball, but mistakes undermined their efforts.

First Loss Under Interim Coach

This was interim head coach Alex Mortensen's first loss after a promising win over then-No. 22 Memphis. The team's inconsistency under new leadership raises questions about their ability to sustain momentum.

Defensive Struggles Against the Pass

UConn's Joey Fagnano threw for 267 yards and four touchdowns without an interception, exploiting UAB's secondary. The Blazers allowed big plays, including three touchdown passes to Skyler Bell, indicating a need for improved pass coverage.

UConn

Dominant Passing Attack

Joey Fagnano threw for 267 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 3 of those TDs going to Skyler Bell (8 catches, 149 yards). Fagnano has 22 TD passes this season without an interception, showing elite efficiency.

Defensive Turnover Prowess

Cam Chadwick tied a school record with 3 interceptions, leading a defense that forced 3 total turnovers and held UAB scoreless in the first half (24-0 lead). This defensive performance was crucial in building an early lead.

Strong First Half Execution

After an initial turnover on downs, UConn scored on 4 of their next 5 first-half possessions (3 TDs, 1 FG) to take a commanding 24-0 halftime lead. This fast start set the tone for the game.

Improved Record and Momentum

UConn improved to 6-3, their best record in recent years, and has now won multiple games in a row. The team is showing consistency on both sides of the ball heading into their next matchup.

What were the weather conditions for UAB vs UConn?

At kickoff, conditions at Pratt & Whitney Stadium were Sunny, 55°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UAB travels 961 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UAB arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

UConn won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

UConn covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

How do UAB and UConn compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UConn (-2.8) over UAB (-10.2) by 7.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UConn brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UAB and UConn?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UConn won and UConn covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

55°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity49%
Wind11 mph WNW
Gusts13 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UAB at UConn: aerial view of Pratt & Whitney Stadium, wind from the WNW at 10.7 mph, gusting to 13 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Capacity
36,000
Elevation
46 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

UABAway UConnHome
This week961 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week3,038 miles
Season total4,075 miles4,699 miles
Body clock11:0012:00
Rest14 days7 days

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