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Week 10 •
Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Texas Tech43 @FINAL 20Kansas State

7-1 Big 12 Power rating: 24.9
4-4 Big 12 Power rating: 10.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TTU -7.5
PM Implied
TTU -6.0
Blue Chip model
TTU -10.9
Edge
-3.5TTU
See details
◂ favors TTUfavors KSU ▸Market: TTU -7.5
‹ 14.1 TTU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
KSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 TTU2 KSU4 TTU4 KSUModel: TTU -10.9

Betting information

Spread
TTU -7.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
TTU 29.5 – 22.0 KSU
Prediction markets
TTU 73% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas Tech defeated Kansas State 43–20 to secure a comfortable win. Texas Tech covered by 15.5; Game went Over by 11.5. The market closed at Texas Tech -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas Tech -10.9 - a gap of 3.5 points toward Texas Tech, of which 2.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Texas Tech vs Kansas State?

At kickoff, conditions at Bill Snyder Family Stadium were Clear, 44°F, wind chill 42°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Texas Tech travels 486 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas Tech won by 23 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas Tech covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

How do Texas Tech and Kansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (24.9) over Kansas State (10.8) by 14.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Kansas State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Kansas State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas Tech and Kansas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas Tech won and Texas Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Clear

44°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity66%
Wind5 mph N
Gusts10 mph
Wind chill42°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Texas Tech at Kansas State: aerial view of Bill Snyder Family Stadium, wind from the N at 4.7 mph, gusting to 9.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
1,129 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Texas TechAway Kansas StateHome
This week486 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game149 miles
Season total4,061 miles11,356 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days

Other games this week