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Week 10 •
Joe Aillet Stadium

Sam Houston14 @FINAL 55Louisiana Tech

0-7 CUSA Power rating: -20.1
4-3 CUSA Power rating: -2.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
LT -16.5
PM Implied
LT -12.4
Blue Chip model
LT -20.2
Edge
+3.7LT
See details
◂ favors SHSUfavors LT ▸Market: LT -16.5
17.7 › LT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
LT
SHSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 SHSU2 LT4 SHSU4 LTModel: LT -20.2

Betting information

Spread
LT -16.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
SHSU 15.5 – 32.0 LT
Prediction markets
LT 88% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Louisiana Tech defeated Sam Houston 55–14 in a dominant performance. Louisiana Tech covered by 24.5; Game went Over by 21.5. The market closed at Louisiana Tech -16.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Louisiana Tech -20.2 - a gap of 3.7 points toward Louisiana Tech, of which 2.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Sam Houston vs Louisiana Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Joe Aillet Stadium were Clear, 47°F, wind chill 44°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Sam Houston travels 211 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Louisiana Tech won by 41 in a dominant performance.

Louisiana Tech covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 21.5 points.

How do Sam Houston and Louisiana Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Louisiana Tech (-2.4) over Sam Houston (-20.1) by 17.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisiana Tech brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Sam Houston and Louisiana Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Louisiana Tech won and Louisiana Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Clear

47°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity72%
Wind5 mph SSE
Gusts9 mph
Wind chill44°F
Wind map for Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech: aerial view of Joe Aillet Stadium, wind from the SSE at 4.5 mph, gusting to 9.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium
Capacity
23,000
Elevation
269 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Sam HoustonAway Louisiana TechHome
This week211 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total10,934 miles2,925 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest17 days11 days

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