Week 10
DATCU Stadium

Navy17 @FINAL 31North Texas , Week 10, Nov 1, 2025

7-0 American Power rating: 2.5
7-1 American Power rating: 8.3

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNT -6.5
PM Implied
UNT -4.5
Blue Chip model
UNT -8.9
Edge
+2.4UNT
See details
◂ favors NAVYfavors UNT ▸Market: UNT -6.5
5.8 › UNT
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1 NAVY1 UNT2 NAVY2 UNT3 NAVY3 UNTModel: UNT -8.9

Betting information

Spread
UNT -6.5
Total
68.5
Odds implied score
NAVY 31.0 – 37.5 UNT
Prediction markets
UNT 68% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

North Texas defeated Navy 31–17 in a double-digit victory. North Texas covered by 7.5; Game went Under by 20.5. The market closed at North Texas -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Texas -8.9, an edge of 2.4 points toward North Texas.

What are the key factors for Navy vs North Texas?

North Texas

Dominant Ground Game

True freshman Caleb Hawkins rushed for a season-high 197 yards and four touchdowns on 33 carries, accounting for all of North Texas's rushing offense as the rest of the team netted minus-21 yards. This performance was crucial in controlling the clock and securing the win.

Efficient Passing Attack

Quarterback Drew Mestemaker, coming off a record-setting performance, completed 19 of 24 passes for 234 yards, providing balance to the offense and keeping Navy's defense honest.

Defensive Turnovers

The North Texas defense forced three turnovers, including two interceptions by Quinton Hammonds, one of which set up a touchdown and another that sealed the game. This was key in ending Navy's 10-game winning streak.

Three-Game Winning Streak

With this victory, North Texas has won three straight games and improved to 8-1 overall, 4-1 in the American Conference, building momentum heading into their next game.

Next Game at UAB

North Texas plays at UAB on Nov. 15, and their recent offensive and defensive performances suggest they are a strong contender, though they will need to maintain their rushing attack and defensive pressure.

What were the weather conditions for Navy vs North Texas?

At kickoff, conditions at DATCU Stadium were Sunny, 69°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Navy travels 1,219 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Navy arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

North Texas won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

North Texas covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 20.5 points.

How do Navy and North Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Texas (8.3) over Navy (2.5) by 5.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. North Texas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

North Texas won and North Texas covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 1, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

69°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity43%
Wind5 mph NE
Gusts6 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Navy at North Texas: aerial view of DATCU Stadium, wind from the NE at 4.7 mph, gusting to 5.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CDT
Venue
DATCU Stadium
Capacity
30,100
Elevation
676 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure NavyAway North TexasHome
This week1,219 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,899 miles
Season total3,575 miles6,460 miles
Body clock12:0011:00
Rest7 days8 days