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Week 10 • November 01, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Miami @ SMU
6-1
ACC
Power Rank: 24.9
20 FINAL 26
5-3
ACC
Power Rank: 10.2
SMU covered by 18.5 | Game went Under by 5.5

By · Last updated

SMU defeated Miami 26–20 in a closely contested finish. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Miami 14.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

Miami @ SMU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity: 32,000
Elevation: 594 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Miami -12.5
Total (O/U) 51.5
Expected Score MIA 32.0 - 19.5 SMU
Power Rank Implied Line Miami +14.7
Prediction Markets Miami 79% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

54.9°F

Wind Chill: 53.0°F
Wind: 8.1 mph SW
Gusts: 11.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 33%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Miami (Away)

This Week: 1102.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3891.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

SMU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1937.9 miles
Season Total: 7301.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Miami -12.5
Total Points 51.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Miami 24.9
SMU 10.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1103 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Capacity 32,000
Elevation 594 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 54.9°F
Wind Speed 8.1 mph
Your Line SMU -14.7
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Miami vs SMU?

Miami: Key Factors

SMU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Miami travels 1,103 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Miami arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

SMU won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

SMU covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Miami and SMU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Miami (24.9) over SMU (10.2) by 14.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, SMU faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. SMU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Miami and SMU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

SMU won and SMU covered the spread.