Jacksonville State defeated Middle Tennessee 24–21 in a nail-biter. Middle Tennessee covered by 1.0; Game went Under by 8.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium were Cloudy, 46.0°F, Wind Chill 42.1°F with winds of 3.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
46.0°F
Jacksonville State travels 144 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Jacksonville State won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Middle Tennessee covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 8.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Jacksonville State (-7.3) over Middle Tennessee (-18.4) by 11.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Middle Tennessee faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Middle Tennessee brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Jacksonville State won and Middle Tennessee covered the spread.
