Week 10 • October 29, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
6-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: 10.8
52 FINAL 20
3-4
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -4.4
James Madison covered by 25.5 | Game went Over by 16.5

James Madison defeated Texas State 52–20 in a dominant performance.

James Madison @ Texas State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity: 27,149
Elevation: 600 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread James Madison -6.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Expected Score JMU 31.0 - 24.5 TXST
Power Rank Implied Line James Madison +15.2
Prediction Markets James Madison 71% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

34.7°F

Wind Chill: 32.0°F
Wind: 3.1 mph S
Gusts: 6.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 37%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

James Madison (Away)

This Week: 1236.8 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3032.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 11

Texas State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5116.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 11

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line James Madison -6.5
Total Points 55.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
James Madison 10.8
Texas State -4.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1237 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity 27,149
Elevation 600 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 34.7°F
Wind Speed 3.1 mph
Your Line Texas State -15.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for James Madison vs Texas State?

James Madison: Key Factors

Texas State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

James Madison travels 1,237 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

James Madison arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

James Madison won by 32 in a dominant performance.

James Madison covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Bobcat Stadium (TX)?

At 34.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do James Madison and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour James Madison (10.8) over Texas State (-4.4) by 15.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Texas State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

James Madison won and James Madison covered the spread.