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Week 1 •
Reser Stadium

California34 @FINAL 15Oregon State

0-0 ACC Power rating: -3.8
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -10.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ORST -3.0
PM Implied
Pick’em
Blue Chip model
CAL -3.4
Edge
-6.4CAL
See details
◂ favors CALfavors ORST ▸Market: ORST -3.0
CAL
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ORST
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 CAL2 ORST4 CAL4 ORST6 CAL6 ORSTModel: CAL -3.4

Betting information

Spread
ORST -3.0
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
CAL 24.3 – 27.3 ORST
Prediction markets
ORST 50% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 10, 2026

California defeated Oregon State 34–15 to secure a comfortable win. California covered by 22.0; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at Oregon State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it California -3.4 - a gap of 6.4 points toward California, of which 5.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for California vs Oregon State?

At kickoff, conditions at Reser Stadium were Mist, 52°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

California travels 465 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

California won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

California covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do California and Oregon State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor California (-3.8) over Oregon State (-10.9) by 7.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oregon State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oregon State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on California and Oregon State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

California won and California covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 31, 2025 Game-time

Mist

52°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind3 mph WSW
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for California at Oregon State: aerial view of Reser Stadium, wind from the WSW at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PDT
Venue
Reser Stadium
Capacity
35,548
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

CaliforniaAway Oregon StateHome
This week465 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total465 miles0 miles
Body clock19:3019:30
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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