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Week 1 •
Kinnick Stadium

UAlbany7 @FINAL 34Iowa

0-0 CAA Power rating: -27.6
0-0 Big Ten Power rating: 17.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
IOWA -39.5
PM Implied
IOWA -22.6
Blue Chip model
IOWA -47.4
Edge
+7.9IOWA
See details
◂ favors UALBfavors IOWA ▸Market: IOWA -39.5
45.0 › IOWA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
IOWA
no impact
IOWA
no impact
no impact
5 UALB5 IOWAModel: IOWA -47.4

Betting information

Spread
IOWA -39.5
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
UALB 4.5 – 44.0 IOWA
Prediction markets
IOWA 97% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026

Iowa defeated UAlbany 34–7 to secure a comfortable win. UAlbany covered by 12.5; Game went Under by 7.5. The market closed at Iowa -39.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa -47.4 - a gap of 7.9 points toward Iowa, of which 6.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for UAlbany vs Iowa?

UAlbany

Strong defensive effort early

Albany held Iowa to just 3 points in the first quarter and took a 7-3 lead in the second quarter, showing they can compete with a Power Five opponent early in the game.

Offensive struggles after initial success

After taking the lead, Albany's offense was unable to sustain drives, managing only 43 rushing yards total and failing to score again after the first half.

Quarterback Jack Shields showed promise

Shields threw a 9-yard touchdown pass to Lasalle Rose Jr., demonstrating the ability to make plays in the red zone, which could be a key factor against Delaware State.

Run defense needs improvement

Albany allowed 310 rushing yards to Iowa, including 122 yards from freshman Xavier Williams, indicating a vulnerability that Delaware State may try to exploit.

Next opponent is Delaware State

Albany faces Delaware State next Saturday, a more manageable opponent where they can build on their defensive strengths and work on offensive consistency.

What were the weather conditions for UAlbany vs Iowa?

At kickoff, conditions at Kinnick Stadium were Cloudy, 66°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UAlbany travels 911 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UAlbany arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Iowa won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

UAlbany covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do UAlbany and Iowa compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Iowa (17.4) over UAlbany (-27.6) by 45.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Iowa brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UAlbany and Iowa?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Iowa won and UAlbany covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 30, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

66°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity92%
Wind9 mph E
Gusts20 mph
Wind map for UAlbany at Iowa: aerial view of Kinnick Stadium, wind from the E at 9.4 mph, gusting to 19.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
05:00 PM CDT
Venue
Kinnick Stadium
Capacity
69,250
Elevation
722 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

UAlbanyAway IowaHome
This week911 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total911 miles0 miles
Body clock18:0017:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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