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Week 1 •
Bill Snyder Family Stadium

North Dakota35 @FINAL 38Kansas State

0-0 MVFC Power rating: -16.2
0-1 Big 12 Power rating: 7.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
KSU -27.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
KSU -26.8
Edge
-0.8UND
See details
◂ favors UNDfavors KSU ▸Market: KSU -27.5
23.6 › KSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
KSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 UND1 KSU2 UND2 KSU3 UND3 KSUModel: KSU -26.8

Betting information

Spread
KSU -27.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
UND 14.0 – 41.5 KSU

ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026

Kansas State defeated North Dakota 38–35 in a nail-biter. North Dakota covered by 24.5; Game went Over by 17.5. The market closed at Kansas State -27.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Kansas State -26.8. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for North Dakota vs Kansas State?

At kickoff, conditions at Bill Snyder Family Stadium were Partly cloudy, 68°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

North Dakota travels 602 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Kansas State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

North Dakota covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 17.5 points.

How do North Dakota and Kansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kansas State (7.4) over North Dakota (-16.2) by 23.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kansas State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Dakota and Kansas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Kansas State won and North Dakota covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 30, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

68°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity92%
Wind3 mph ESE
Gusts6 mph
Wind map for North Dakota at Kansas State: aerial view of Bill Snyder Family Stadium, wind from the ESE at 2.7 mph, gusting to 5.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
1,129 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

North DakotaAway Kansas StateHome
This week602 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week8,276 miles
Season total602 miles8,276 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
RestSeason opener7 days

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