14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 1 • August 30, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
North Dakota @ Kansas State
0-0
FCS
Power Rank: -16.2
35 FINAL 38
0-0
Big 12
Power Rank: 7.4
North Dakota covered by 22.5 | Game went Over by 17.5

By · Last updated

Kansas State defeated North Dakota 38–35 in a nail-biter.

North Dakota @ Kansas State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 1
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Elevation: 1129 ft
HFA Rating: 3.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Kansas State -25.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Expected Score UND 15.0 - 40.5 KSU
Power Rank Implied Line Kansas State +23.6
Prediction Markets Kansas State 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

24.2°F

Wind Chill: 18.3°F
Wind: 4.5 mph ENE
Gusts: 9.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 85%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

North Dakota (Away)

This Week: 601.7 miles
Last Week: 1203.5 miles
Season Total: 1805.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: No Prior

Kansas State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 8276.0 miles
Season Total: 8276.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Kansas State -25.5
Total Points 55.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
North Dakota -16.2
Kansas State 7.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 602 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest —
HFA: Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Capacity 50,000
Elevation 1129 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 24.2°F
Wind Speed 4.5 mph
Your Line Kansas State +23.6
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for North Dakota vs Kansas State?

Kansas State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

North Dakota travels 602 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Kansas State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

North Dakota covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 17.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Bill Snyder Family Stadium?

At 24.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do North Dakota and Kansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Kansas State (7.4) over North Dakota (-16.2) by 23.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kansas State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Dakota and Kansas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Kansas State won and North Dakota covered the spread.