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Week 1 •
Hancock Whitney Stadium

Morgan State21 @FINAL 38South Alabama

0-0 MEAC Power rating: -28.8
0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -12.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USA -28.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
USA -19.3
Edge
-9.2MORG
See details
◂ favors MORGfavors USA ▸Market: USA -28.5
16.6 › USA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USA
no impact
USA
no impact
no impact
5 MORG5 USA10 MORG10 USAModel: USA -19.3

Betting information

Spread
USA -28.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
MORG 11.0 – 39.5 USA

ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026

South Alabama defeated Morgan State 38–21 to secure a comfortable win. Morgan State covered by 11.5; Game went Over by 8.5. The market closed at South Alabama -28.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Alabama -19.3 - a gap of 9.2 points toward Morgan State, of which 8.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Morgan State vs South Alabama?

At kickoff, conditions at Hancock Whitney Stadium were Clear, 76°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Morgan State travels 887 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Morgan State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

South Alabama won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Morgan State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 8.5 points.

How do Morgan State and South Alabama compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Alabama (-12.2) over Morgan State (-28.8) by 16.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Alabama brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Morgan State and South Alabama?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

South Alabama won and Morgan State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 30, 2025 Game-time

Clear

76°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity88%
Wind3 mph E
Gusts6 mph
Wind map for Morgan State at South Alabama: aerial view of Hancock Whitney Stadium, wind from the E at 3.1 mph, gusting to 6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Capacity
25,450
Elevation
197 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Morgan StateAway South AlabamaHome
This week887 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total887 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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