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Week 1 •
Memorial Stadium

Central Arkansas6 @FINAL 61Missouri

0-0 UAC Power rating: -30.8
0-0 SEC Power rating: 16.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MIZ -39.5
PM Implied
MIZ -25.3
Blue Chip model
MIZ -49.3
Edge
+9.8MIZ
See details
◂ favors CARKfavors MIZ ▸Market: MIZ -39.5
46.9 › MIZ
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MIZ
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 CARK5 MIZ10 CARK10 MIZModel: MIZ -49.3

Betting information

Spread
MIZ -39.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
CARK 7.0 – 46.5 MIZ
Prediction markets
MIZ 98% win chance (Kalshi)

ESPN Bet · as of July 10, 2026

Missouri defeated Central Arkansas 61–6 in a dominant performance. Missouri covered by 15.5; Game went Over by 13.5. The market closed at Missouri -39.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Missouri -49.3 - a gap of 9.8 points toward Missouri, of which 9.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Central Arkansas vs Missouri?

Central Arkansas

Offensive Struggles Against Power 5 Defense

Central Arkansas managed only 229 total yards and 6 points, with quarterback Luther Richesson completing 12 of 22 passes for just 70 yards. The offense failed to sustain drives or score touchdowns, indicating significant challenges against a higher-level opponent.

Rushing Attack Shows Some Promise

Landen Chambers provided a bright spot with 63 rushing yards, suggesting the ground game could be a key component moving forward. However, the overall offensive output was limited, and the team will need to build on this to compete in future games.

Defensive Vulnerabilities Exposed

Missouri's offense amassed 560 yards and 61 points, including two 99-yard touchdown drives. Central Arkansas struggled to contain both the pass and run, allowing big plays and consistent scoring, which will need to be addressed before facing Arkansas-Pine Bluff.

Penalties and Discipline Issues

While not specifically highlighted for Central Arkansas, the team's inability to force turnovers or create stops contributed to the lopsided score. Improving discipline and execution will be critical for the next game.

Opportunity for Rebound Against FCS Opponent

Central Arkansas faces Arkansas-Pine Bluff in their home opener next week, providing a chance to reset and compete against a more evenly matched FCS team. The Bears will need to leverage their rushing attack and tighten up defensively to secure a win.

What were the weather conditions for Central Arkansas vs Missouri?

At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium were Overcast, 69°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Central Arkansas travels 266 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Missouri won by 55 in a dominant performance.

Missouri covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 13.5 points.

How do Central Arkansas and Missouri compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri (16.1) over Central Arkansas (-30.8) by 46.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Missouri brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Central Arkansas and Missouri?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Missouri won and Missouri covered the spread.

Conditions

as of August 28, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

69°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity86%
Wind7 mph S
Gusts14 mph
Wind map for Central Arkansas at Missouri: aerial view of Memorial Stadium, wind from the S at 6.5 mph, gusting to 13.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 1
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Memorial Stadium
Capacity
62,621
Elevation
699 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Central ArkansasAway MissouriHome
This week266 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total266 miles0 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
RestSeason openerSeason opener

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