ReliaQuest Bowl
Raymond James StadiumNeutral site

Iowa34 @FINAL 27Vanderbilt , Postseason, Dec 31, 2025

8-4 Big Ten Power rating: 20.7
10-2 SEC Power rating: 18.5

How did the line hold up?

Market line
VAN -3.0
PM Implied
VAN -3.8
Blue Chip model
IOWA -1.9
Edge
-5.0IOWA
See details
◂ favors IOWAfavors VAN ▸Market: VAN -3.0
IOWA
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neutral
no impact
no impact
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VAN
2 IOWA2 VAN4 IOWA4 VANModel: IOWA -1.9

Betting information

Spread
VAN -3.0
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
IOWA 22.3 – 25.3 VAN
Prediction markets
VAN 65% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Iowa defeated Vanderbilt 34–27 in a one-score game. Iowa covered by 10.0; Game went Over by 13.5. The market closed at Vanderbilt -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa -1.9 - a gap of 5.0 points toward Iowa, of which 4.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Iowa vs Vanderbilt?

At kickoff, conditions at Raymond James Stadium were Sunny, 59°F with winds of 12 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Iowa travels 1,073 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Iowa arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Iowa won by 7 in a one-score game.

Iowa covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 13.5 points.

How do Iowa and Vanderbilt compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Iowa (20.7) over Vanderbilt (18.5) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. Vanderbilt faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Iowa won and Iowa covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 31, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

59°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity26%
Wind12 mph NW
Gusts14 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Iowa at Vanderbilt: aerial view of Raymond James Stadium, wind from the NW at 12.3 mph, gusting to 14.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Postseason
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Capacity
69,218
Elevation
72 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

Measure IowaAway VanderbiltHome
This week1,073 miles617 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total7,018 miles4,300 miles
Body clock11:0011:00
Rest33 days32 days