North Texas defeated San Diego State 49–47 in a nail-biter. San Diego State covered by 5.5; Game went Over by 41.5.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at University Stadium (NM) were Cloudy, 44.1°F, Wind Chill 40.5°F with winds of 7.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
44.1°F
North Texas travels 557 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
North Texas arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
North Texas won by 2 in a nail-biter.
San Diego State covered the spread.
The total went Over by 41.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour North Texas (8.5) over San Diego State (5.3) by 3.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, San Diego State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. San Diego State brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
North Texas won and San Diego State covered the spread.
