Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla BowlDecember 19, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
7
8-4
American
Power Rank: 11.4
@
FINAL
31
7-5
ACC
Power Rank: 8.3

By · Last updated

NC State defeated Memphis 31–7 to secure a comfortable win. NC State covered by 20.5; Game went Under by 18.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Memphis 3.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Postseason
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM EST
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: 0.0
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread NC State -3.5
Total (O/U) 56.5
Odds Implied Score MEM 26.5 - 30.0 NCSU
Power Rank Implied Line Memphis -3.1
Prediction Markets NC State 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Memphis @ NC State Preview

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Memphis
NC State
Home field: Raymond James Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Memphis vs NC State?

At kick-off, conditions at Raymond James Stadium were Overcast, 69.6°F, Feels Like 69.6°F with winds of 12.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: December 19, 2025
Overcast

Overcast

69.6°F

Feels Like: 69.6°F
Wind: 12.5 mph NW
Gusts: 17.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 85%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Memphis (Away)

This Week: 660.5 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6487.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:30
Rest Days: 21

NC State (Home)

This Week: 583.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3970.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 19

What happened in the game?

Memphis travels 660 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Memphis arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

NC State won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

NC State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 18.5 points.

How do Memphis and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Memphis (11.4) over NC State (8.3) by 3.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, NC State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. NC State brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

NC State won and NC State covered the spread.