Jacksonville State defeated Troy 17–13 in a closely contested finish. Jacksonville State covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 17.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Troy 4.5 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Cramton Bowl were Overcast, 41.0°F, Wind Chill 39.0°F with winds of 1.3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
41.0°F
Troy travels 45 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Jacksonville State won by 4 in a closely contested finish.
Jacksonville State covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 17.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Troy (-2.0) over Jacksonville State (-6.5) by 4.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Jacksonville State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Jacksonville State brings a neutral home environment to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 0.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Jacksonville State won and Jacksonville State covered the spread.
