Week 9
M. M. Roberts Stadium

UL Monroe21 @FINAL 49Southern Miss , Week 9, Oct 25, 2025

3-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -15.3
5-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -2.6

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USM -14.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
USM -15.2
Edge
+1.2USM
See details
◂ favors ULMfavors USM ▸Market: USM -14.0
12.7 › USM
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USM
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 ULM1 USM2 ULM2 USMModel: USM -15.2

Betting information

Spread
USM -14.0
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
ULM 17.3 – 31.3 USM

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Southern Miss defeated UL Monroe 49–21 in a dominant performance. Southern Miss covered by 14.0; Game went Over by 21.5. The market closed at Southern Miss -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Southern Miss -15.2, an edge of 1.2 points toward Southern Miss.

What were the weather conditions for UL Monroe vs Southern Miss?

At kickoff, conditions at M. M. Roberts Stadium were Cloudy, 75°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UL Monroe travels 181 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Southern Miss won by 28 in a dominant performance.

Southern Miss covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 21.5 points.

How do UL Monroe and Southern Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Southern Miss (-2.6) over UL Monroe (-15.3) by 12.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Southern Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Southern Miss won and Southern Miss covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

75°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity61%
Wind10 mph SE
Gusts16 mph
Wind map for UL Monroe at Southern Miss: aerial view of M. M. Roberts Stadium, wind from the SE at 9.8 mph, gusting to 16.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Capacity
36,000
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UL MonroeAway Southern MissHome
This week181 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game357 miles
Season total5,331 miles1,681 miles
Body clock14:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days