Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
4-3
ACC
Power Rank: 5.6
34 FINAL 53
5-2
ACC
Power Rank: 12.9
Pittsburgh covered by 12.5 | Game went Over by 28.5

Pittsburgh defeated NC State 53–34 to secure a comfortable win.

NC State @ Pittsburgh Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Acrisure Stadium
Capacity: 68,400
Elevation: 719 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Pittsburgh -6.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Expected Score NCSU 26.0 - 32.5 PITT
Power Rank Implied Line Pittsburgh +7.3

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow

Light snow

25.3°F

Wind Chill: 15.7°F
Wind: 9.4 mph SW
Gusts: 14.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 90%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 87%

Travel & Rest

NC State (Away)

This Week: 328.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1691.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 14

Pittsburgh (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 537.1 miles
Season Total: 2109.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Pittsburgh -6.5
Total Points 58.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
NC State 5.6
Pittsburgh 12.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 328 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest NC State +7
HFA: Acrisure Stadium
Capacity 68,400
Elevation 719 ft
Weather: Light snow
Temperature 25.3°F
Wind Speed 9.4 mph
Your Line Pittsburgh +7.3
Implied Value

What are the key factors for NC State vs Pittsburgh?

NC State: Key Factors

Pittsburgh: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

NC State travels 328 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Pittsburgh won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Pittsburgh covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 28.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Acrisure Stadium?

At 25.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do NC State and Pittsburgh compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Pittsburgh (12.9) over NC State (5.6) by 7.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Pittsburgh brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Pittsburgh won and Pittsburgh covered the spread.