Week 9 • October 25, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
3-4
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -8.3
24 FINAL 34
3-4
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -8.3
Arkansas State covered by 7.5 | Game went Under by 4.5

Arkansas State defeated Georgia Southern 34–24 in a double-digit victory.

Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Centennial Bank Stadium
Capacity: 16,343
Elevation: 302 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Arkansas State -2.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Expected Score GASO 30.0 - 32.5 ARST
Power Rank Implied Line Even

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

31.3°F

Wind Chill: 24.1°F
Wind: 7.8 mph N
Gusts: 15.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 90%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Georgia Southern (Away)

This Week: 561.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10841.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

Arkansas State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 765.7 miles
Season Total: 3235.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 11

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Arkansas State -2.5
Total Points 62.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Georgia Southern -8.3
Arkansas State -8.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 561 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Arkansas State +4
HFA: Centennial Bank Stadium
Capacity 16,343
Elevation 302 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 31.3°F
Wind Speed 7.8 mph
Your Line Arkansas State +0.0
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State?

Georgia Southern: Key Factors

Arkansas State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Georgia Southern travels 561 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Georgia Southern arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Arkansas State won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Arkansas State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Centennial Bank Stadium?

At 31.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Georgia Southern and Arkansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Georgia Southern (-8.3) and Arkansas State (-8.3) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Arkansas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Arkansas State won and Arkansas State covered the spread.