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Week 9 •
Centennial Bank Stadium

Georgia Southern24 @FINAL 34Arkansas State

3-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -8.3
3-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -8.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
GASO -1.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
ARST -3.4
Edge
+4.9ARST
See details
◂ favors GASOfavors ARST ▸Market: GASO -1.5
no impact
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ARST
ARST
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 GASO2 ARST4 GASO4 ARSTModel: ARST -3.4

Betting information

Spread
GASO -1.5
Total
59.5
Odds implied score
GASO 30.5 – 29.0 ARST

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Arkansas State defeated Georgia Southern 34–24 in a double-digit victory. Arkansas State covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at Georgia Southern -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Arkansas State -3.4 - a gap of 4.9 points toward Arkansas State, of which 3.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State?

At kickoff, conditions at Centennial Bank Stadium were Overcast, 61°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 21 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Georgia Southern travels 561 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Georgia Southern arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Arkansas State won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Arkansas State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do Georgia Southern and Arkansas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Georgia Southern (-8.3) and Arkansas State (-8.3) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, home field, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Arkansas State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Georgia Southern and Arkansas State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Arkansas State won and Arkansas State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

61°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity50%
Wind14 mph ESE
Gusts21 mph
Wind map for Georgia Southern at Arkansas State: aerial view of Centennial Bank Stadium, wind from the ESE at 13.9 mph, gusting to 21 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
Centennial Bank Stadium
Capacity
16,343
Elevation
302 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Georgia SouthernAway Arkansas StateHome
This week561 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game766 miles
Season total10,009 miles2,228 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
Rest7 days11 days

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