Week 9
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

Florida Atlantic32 @FINAL 42Navy , Week 9, Oct 25, 2025

3-4 American Power rating: -13.0
6-0 American Power rating: 2.6

How did the line hold up?

Market line
NAVY -14.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NAVY -18.4
Edge
+3.9NAVY
See details
◂ favors FAUfavors NAVY ▸Market: NAVY -14.5
15.6 › NAVY
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2 FAU2 NAVY4 FAU4 NAVYModel: NAVY -18.4

Betting information

Spread
NAVY -14.5
Total
63.5
Odds implied score
FAU 24.5 – 39.0 NAVY

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Navy defeated Florida Atlantic 42–32 in a double-digit victory. Florida Atlantic covered by 4.5; Game went Over by 10.5. The market closed at Navy -14.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Navy -18.4 - a gap of 3.9 points toward Navy, of which 2.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Florida Atlantic vs Navy?

Florida Atlantic

Passing Attack Shows Promise

Caden Veltkamp threw for 299 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 25 of 41 passes, indicating the passing game can be effective against strong opponents.

Rushing Game Struggles

The Owls managed only 69 rushing yards, highlighting a significant weakness that opposing defenses can exploit, especially against run-heavy teams.

Turnovers Prove Costly

A forced fumble and an interception by Navy's Coleman Cauley led to 14 quick points, demonstrating that FAU must protect the ball better to stay competitive.

Late-Game Resilience

Despite trailing 41-19, FAU scored two touchdowns in the final two minutes, showing fight and ability to produce under pressure, which could be a morale boost.

Defensive Vulnerabilities Exposed

Navy rushed for 397 yards and 4 touchdowns, indicating FAU's defense struggles against option-based offenses, a key area to address in preparation.

What were the weather conditions for Florida Atlantic vs Navy?

At kickoff, conditions at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium were Partly cloudy, 57°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida Atlantic travels 894 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Navy won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Florida Atlantic covered the spread.

The total went Over by 10.5 points.

How do Florida Atlantic and Navy compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Navy (2.6) over Florida Atlantic (-13.0) by 15.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Navy brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Navy won and Florida Atlantic covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 25, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

57°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity53%
Wind2 mph WSW
Gusts4 mph
Wind map for Florida Atlantic at Navy: aerial view of Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, wind from the WSW at 2.2 mph, gusting to 3.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Capacity
34,000
Elevation
39 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Florida AtlanticAway NavyHome
This week894 miles0 miles
Last week369 milesBye week
Season total5,056 miles2,356 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest7 days14 days