Missouri State defeated New Mexico State 24–17 in a one-score game. Missouri State covered by 4.5; Game went Under by 10.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Aggie Memorial Stadium were Partly cloudy, 65.1°F, Feels Like 65.1°F with winds of 2.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
65.1°F
Missouri State travels 837 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Missouri State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Missouri State won by 7 in a one-score game.
Missouri State covered the spread.
The total went Under by 10.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri State (-14.6) over New Mexico State (-18.9) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Missouri State won and Missouri State covered the spread.
