Week 9 • October 23, 2025, 01:00 AM UTC
3-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -14.6
24 FINAL 17
3-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -18.9
Missouri State covered by 5.5 | Game went Under by 11.5

Missouri State defeated New Mexico State 24–17 in a one-score game.

Missouri State @ New Mexico State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 9
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM MDT
Stadium: Aggie Memorial Stadium
Capacity: 28,853
Elevation: 3970 ft
HFA Rating: 3.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Missouri State -1.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Expected Score MOST 27.0 - 25.5 NMSU
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri State +4.3

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

41.1°F

Wind Chill: 39.3°F
Wind: 3.4 mph ESE
Gusts: 6.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 55%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Missouri State (Away)

This Week: 836.6 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5668.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 15

New Mexico State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3199.2 miles
Season Total: 5229.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 9

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Missouri State -1.5
Total Points 52.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Missouri State -14.6
New Mexico State -18.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 837 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Missouri State +6
HFA: Aggie Memorial Stadium
Capacity 28,853
Elevation 3970 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 41.1°F
Wind Speed 3.4 mph
Your Line New Mexico State -4.3
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Missouri State vs New Mexico State?

Missouri State: Key Factors

New Mexico State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Missouri State travels 837 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Missouri State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Missouri State won by 7 in a one-score game.

Missouri State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 11.5 points.

How do Missouri State and New Mexico State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Missouri State (-14.6) over New Mexico State (-18.9) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Missouri State won and Missouri State covered the spread.