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Week 9 •
Aggie Memorial Stadium

Missouri State24 @FINAL 17New Mexico State

3-3 CUSA Power rating: -14.6
3-3 CUSA Power rating: -18.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MOST -2.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MOST -2.1
Edge
+0.4NMSU
See details
◂ favors MOSTfavors NMSU ▸Market: MOST -2.5
‹ 4.3 MOST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NMSU
MOST
NMSU
NMSU
no impact
1 MOST1 NMSU2 MOST2 NMSUModel: MOST -2.1

Betting information

Spread
MOST -2.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
MOST 27.0 – 24.5 NMSU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Missouri State defeated New Mexico State 24–17 in a one-score game. Missouri State covered by 4.5; Game went Under by 10.5. The market closed at Missouri State -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Missouri State -2.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Missouri State vs New Mexico State?

At kickoff, conditions at Aggie Memorial Stadium were Partly cloudy, 65°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Missouri State travels 837 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Missouri State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Missouri State won by 7 in a one-score game.

Missouri State covered the spread.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

How do Missouri State and New Mexico State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Missouri State (-14.6) over New Mexico State (-18.9) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, New Mexico State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. New Mexico State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Missouri State and New Mexico State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Missouri State won and Missouri State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 23, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

65°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity34%
Wind3 mph N
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Missouri State at New Mexico State: aerial view of Aggie Memorial Stadium, wind from the N at 2.5 mph, gusting to 5.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM MDT
Venue
Aggie Memorial Stadium
Capacity
28,853
Elevation
3,970 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Missouri StateAway New Mexico StateHome
This week837 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week3,199 miles
Season total5,669 miles5,229 miles
Body clock20:0019:00
Rest15 days9 days

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