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Week 8 •
FBC Mortgage Stadium

West Virginia13 @FINAL 45UCF

2-4 Big 12 Power rating: -1.1
3-3 Big 12 Power rating: 6.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UCF -6.5
PM Implied
UCF -6.1
Blue Chip model
UCF -10.5
Edge
+4.0UCF
See details
◂ favors WVUfavors UCF ▸Market: UCF -6.5
8.0 › UCF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UCF
WVU
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 WVU2 UCF4 WVU4 UCFModel: UCF -10.5

Betting information

Spread
UCF -6.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
WVU 20.0 – 26.5 UCF
Prediction markets
UCF 74% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UCF defeated West Virginia 45–13 in a dominant performance. UCF covered by 25.5; Game went Over by 11.5. The market closed at UCF -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UCF -10.5 - a gap of 4.0 points toward UCF, of which 3.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for West Virginia vs UCF?

At kickoff, conditions at FBC Mortgage Stadium were Partly cloudy, 76°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

West Virginia travels 765 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

UCF won by 32 in a dominant performance.

UCF covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

How do West Virginia and UCF compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UCF (6.9) over West Virginia (-1.1) by 8.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UCF brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on West Virginia and UCF?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UCF won and UCF covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

76°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind10 mph ESE
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for West Virginia at UCF: aerial view of FBC Mortgage Stadium, wind from the ESE at 9.8 mph, gusting to 11.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM EDT
Venue
FBC Mortgage Stadium
Capacity
44,206
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

West VirginiaAway UCFHome
This week765 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,500 miles
Season total5,988 miles3,789 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest14 days7 days

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