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Week 8 •
Sanford Stadium

Ole Miss35 @FINAL 43Georgia

6-0 SEC Power rating: 21.6
5-1 SEC Power rating: 20.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UGA -7.5
PM Implied
UGA -5.7
Blue Chip model
UGA -1.7
Edge
-5.8MISS
See details
◂ favors MISSfavors UGA ▸Market: UGA -7.5
MISS
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UGA
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 MISS2 UGA4 MISS4 UGA6 MISS6 UGAModel: UGA -1.7

Betting information

Spread
UGA -7.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
MISS 24.5 – 32.0 UGA
Prediction markets
UGA 72% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia defeated Ole Miss 43–35 in a one-score game. Georgia covered by 0.5; Game went Over by 21.5. The market closed at Georgia -7.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Georgia -1.7 - a gap of 5.8 points toward Ole Miss, of which 5.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Ole Miss vs Georgia?

Ole Miss

Offensive Explosion Fades in Fourth Quarter

Ole Miss scored touchdowns on their first five possessions, building a 35-26 lead entering the fourth quarter, but then failed to score again, managing no first downs and punting for the first time all game. This inability to sustain drives late cost them the win.

Defense Couldn't Match Georgia's Fourth-Quarter Stops

While Georgia's defense forced back-to-back punts in the fourth quarter, Ole Miss's defense allowed a go-ahead touchdown drive and a field goal drive, failing to make critical stops when the game was on the line.

Trinidad Chambliss Spreads the Ball Effectively

Chambliss completed passes to eight different targets, showcasing a balanced passing attack that kept Georgia off balance early. This distribution could be a key weapon moving forward if the offense can maintain consistency for four quarters.

Road Win Over Top-10 Team Remains Elusive Under Kiffin

Despite a strong start, Ole Miss was denied its first road win over a top-10 team under Lane Kiffin. The loss highlights a need to finish games away from home, especially against elite competition.

Next Up: Critical Road Test at No. 14 Oklahoma

Ole Miss travels to face No. 14 Oklahoma next Saturday. The Sooners are coming off a 26-7 win at South Carolina, so the Rebels must quickly address their fourth-quarter struggles to avoid a second straight loss.

What were the weather conditions for Ole Miss vs Georgia?

At kickoff, conditions at Sanford Stadium were Cloudy, 72°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Ole Miss travels 354 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ole Miss arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Georgia won by 8 in a one-score game.

Georgia covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 21.5 points.

How do Ole Miss and Georgia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ole Miss (21.6) over Georgia (20.8) by 0.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Georgia faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Georgia brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ole Miss and Georgia?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Georgia won and Georgia covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

72°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity60%
Wind4 mph S
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Ole Miss at Georgia: aerial view of Sanford Stadium, wind from the S at 3.8 mph, gusting to 8.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EDT
Venue
Sanford Stadium
Capacity
93,033
Elevation
715 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Ole MissAway GeorgiaHome
This week354 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game307 miles
Season total1,109 miles591 miles
Body clock14:3015:30
Rest7 days7 days

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