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Week 8 •
Raymond James Stadium

Florida Atlantic13 @FINAL 48South Florida

3-3 American Power rating: -11.1
5-1 American Power rating: 12.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USF -20.5
PM Implied
USF -14.3
Blue Chip model
USF -26.1
Edge
+5.6USF
See details
◂ favors FAUfavors USF ▸Market: USF -20.5
23.3 › USF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USF
no impact
no impact
no impact
FAU
2 FAU2 USF4 FAU4 USF6 FAU6 USFModel: USF -26.1

Betting information

Spread
USF -20.5
Total
72.5
Odds implied score
FAU 26.0 – 46.5 USF
Prediction markets
USF 91% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Florida defeated Florida Atlantic 48–13 in a dominant performance. South Florida covered by 14.5; Game went Under by 11.5. The market closed at South Florida -20.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Florida -26.1 - a gap of 5.6 points toward South Florida, of which 4.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Florida Atlantic vs South Florida?

At kickoff, conditions at Raymond James Stadium were Partly cloudy, 73°F with winds of 12 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Florida Atlantic travels 184 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

South Florida won by 35 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 11.5 points.

How do Florida Atlantic and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (12.2) over Florida Atlantic (-11.1) by 23.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Florida Atlantic and South Florida?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 18, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity63%
Wind12 mph ESE
Gusts19 mph
Wind map for Florida Atlantic at South Florida: aerial view of Raymond James Stadium, wind from the ESE at 12.3 mph, gusting to 18.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EDT
Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Capacity
69,218
Elevation
72 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

Florida AtlanticAway South FloridaHome
This week184 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,887 miles
Season total3,978 miles2,513 miles
Body clock19:3019:30
Rest7 days8 days

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