DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
North Texas defeated UTSA 55–17 in a dominant performance. North Texas covered by 34.0; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at North Texas -4.0 and the Blue Chip model made it North Texas -10.1 - a gap of 6.1 points toward North Texas, of which 5.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
North Texas scored 55 points, marking their third game this season with 50+ points, and improved to 6-1, their best start since 2018. The offense is highly productive and difficult to stop.
Quarterback Drew Mestemaker threw for 277 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 3 scores going to Wyatt Young (102 yards receiving). He also ran for a touchdown, showing dual-threat capability.
Caleb Hawkins rushed for 133 yards on 18 carries and added 8 catches for 90 yards, providing a balanced attack that keeps defenses off balance.
A UTSA fumble deep in their own territory led to a short touchdown run by Mestemaker, extending the lead to 38-14. The defense capitalized on mistakes to create scoring opportunities.
After UTSA scored on a 75-yard drive to open the game, North Texas responded with 17 straight points in the fourth quarter and led 24-14 at halftime, showing resilience and ability to adjust.
At kickoff, conditions at DATCU Stadium were Thundery outbreaks possible, 83°F, heat index 85°F with winds of 11 mph. Gusts reaching 23 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Thundery outbreaks possible
83°F
| Measure | UTSAAway | North TexasHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 272 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 5,296 miles | 4,560 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 14:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 8 days |
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