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Week 7 •
Rynearson Stadium

Northern Illinois10 @FINAL 16Eastern Michigan

1-4 MAC Power rating: -12.9
1-5 MAC Power rating: -15.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
NIU -1.5
PM Implied
NIU -1.1
Blue Chip model
NIU -1.4
Edge
+0.1EMU
See details
◂ favors NIUfavors EMU ▸Market: NIU -1.5
NIU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
EMU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 NIU1 EMU2 NIU2 EMUModel: NIU -1.4

Betting information

Spread
NIU -1.5
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
NIU 25.0 – 23.5 EMU
Prediction markets
NIU 53% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Eastern Michigan defeated Northern Illinois 16–10 in a closely contested finish. Eastern Michigan covered by 7.5; Game went Under by 22.5. The market closed at Northern Illinois -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Northern Illinois -1.4. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What were the weather conditions for Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Rynearson Stadium were Partly cloudy, 60°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Northern Illinois travels 265 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Northern Illinois arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Eastern Michigan won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Eastern Michigan covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 22.5 points.

How do Northern Illinois and Eastern Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Northern Illinois (-12.9) over Eastern Michigan (-15.8) by 2.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Eastern Michigan faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Eastern Michigan brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Northern Illinois and Eastern Michigan?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Eastern Michigan won and Eastern Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 11, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

60°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity65%
Wind8 mph N
Gusts10 mph
Wind map for Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan: aerial view of Rynearson Stadium, wind from the N at 8.3 mph, gusting to 10.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM EDT
Venue
Rynearson Stadium
Capacity
26,188
Elevation
810 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Northern IllinoisAway Eastern MichiganHome
This week265 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game507 miles
Season total2,744 miles3,644 miles
Body clock12:0013:00
Rest7 days7 days

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