Navy defeated Temple 32–31 in a nail-biter. Temple covered by 9.0; Game went Over by 10.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Lincoln Financial Field were Overcast, 62.4°F, Feels Like 62.4°F with winds of 11.0 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
62.4°F
Blake Horvath accounted for 296 total yards (141 passing, 155 rushing) and three touchdowns, including a 51-yard go-ahead run late in the fourth quarter. His ability to both pass and run effectively makes Navy's offense unpredictable and dangerous.
Navy trailed by 10 points midway through the third quarter but outscored Temple 18-7 in the final 20 minutes. This shows the team's composure and ability to execute under pressure, which is valuable in close games.
Navy's triple-option offense produced 243 rushing yards at 6.6 yards per carry. This ground game can control the clock and wear down defenses, setting up play-action passes for Horvath.
Navy allowed 505 total yards, including 332 passing yards and a 26-yard touchdown pass. The defense struggled against Temple's passing attack, which could be a concern against more potent offenses.
Navy forced a key fumble from Temple that helped shift momentum. Creating turnovers will be critical for Navy to offset defensive lapses and secure wins in future games.
Temple outgained Navy 505-384 and had strong offensive production, but a key fumble proved costly in the 32-31 loss.
Quarterback Evan Simon threw for 332 yards and a touchdown, adding a rushing score, showing he can lead a potent passing attack.
Running back Jay Ducker rushed for 97 yards and two touchdowns, including a late go-ahead score, providing a reliable ground game.
Temple's defense allowed 243 rushing yards and 6.6 yards per carry, and couldn't stop Navy's quarterback Blake Horvath on key runs, including the game-winning 51-yard touchdown.
Temple took a 31-24 lead with 3:48 remaining but couldn't hold it, as Navy scored the go-ahead touchdown with just over two minutes left, highlighting late-game defensive issues.
Navy travels 96 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Navy won by 1 in a nail-biter.
Temple covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 10.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Navy (2.3) over Temple (-7.6) by 9.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Temple faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Temple brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Navy won and Temple covered the spread.
