DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Colorado defeated Iowa State 24–17 in a one-score game. Colorado covered by 10.0; Game went Under by 11.5. The market closed at Iowa State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa State -7.0 - a gap of 4.0 points toward Iowa State, of which 2.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Iowa State 11.3 points stronger on a neutral field.
Iowa State committed seven penalties against Colorado, following eight the previous week against Cincinnati. This is uncharacteristic for a team that has been one of the least penalized in the nation over the past two seasons, indicating a need to refocus on fundamentals.
The Cyclones allowed a crucial fourth-down stop at their own 18-yard line and a key interception in the end zone was overturned after a controversial pass interference call. These defensive lapses in the fourth quarter directly led to Colorado's game-winning field goal.
Abu Sama III ran for 177 yards and two touchdowns, providing a strong ground game. However, the team's overall offensive output (441 yards) was not enough to overcome defensive and penalty issues.
Rocco Becht completed 18 of 33 passes for 205 yards but threw a critical interception in the fourth quarter. He acknowledged needing to be better for his team, highlighting a need for improved decision-making under pressure.
Iowa State hosts No. 18 BYU on Oct. 25. To win, they must clean up penalties, maintain defensive discipline in critical moments, and rely on their rushing attack while Becht improves his passing efficiency.
At kickoff, conditions at Folsom Field were Overcast, 64°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Overcast
64°F
| Measure | Iowa StateAway | ColoradoHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 623 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 1,038 miles | 1,337 miles |
| Season total | 10,351 miles | 3,146 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 13:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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