Week 7 • October 11, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
4-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 12.3
17 FINAL 24
2-4
Big 12
Power Rank: 1.0
Colorado covered by 11.5 | Game went Under by 12.5

Colorado defeated Iowa State 24–17 in a one-score game. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Iowa State 11.3 points stronger on a neutral field.

Iowa State @ Colorado Preview

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:30 PM MDT
Stadium: Folsom Field
Capacity: 50,183
Elevation: 5400 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Iowa State -4.5
Total (O/U) 53.5
Expected Score ISU 29.0 - 24.5 COLO
Power Rank Implied Line Iowa State +11.3
Prediction Markets Iowa State 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

35.1°F

Wind Chill: 30.6°F
Wind: 5.1 mph WSW
Gusts: 11.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 27%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Iowa State (Away)

This Week: 623.0 miles
Last Week: 1038.2 miles
Season Total: 10351.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Colorado (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1336.6 miles
Season Total: 4077.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Iowa State -4.5
Total Points 53.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Iowa State 12.3
Colorado 1.0
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 623 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Folsom Field
Capacity 50,183
Elevation 5400 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 35.1°F
Wind Speed 5.1 mph
Your Line Colorado -11.3
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Iowa State vs Colorado?

Iowa State: Key Factors

Colorado: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Iowa State travels 623 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Iowa State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Colorado won by 7 in a one-score game.

Colorado covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 12.5 points.

How do Iowa State and Colorado compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Iowa State (12.3) over Colorado (1.0) by 11.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Colorado won and Colorado covered the spread.