Tennessee defeated Arkansas 34–31 in a nail-biter. Arkansas covered by 7.0; Game went Under by 3.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Neyland Stadium were Partly cloudy, 65.5°F, Feels Like 65.5°F with winds of 3.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
65.5°F
Arkansas lost three fumbles and allowed five sacks, which disrupted offensive rhythm and gave Tennessee short fields. This must be cleaned up to compete against Texas A&M.
Despite the coaching change and loss, the team showed grit, rallying from a 17-point deficit to make it a one-score game. This mental toughness could be a positive factor moving forward.
Green threw for 256 yards and two TDs and ran for 63 yards and a score, showing he can be a dynamic playmaker. His continued development is key for Arkansas' offensive success.
Petrino's decision to go for it on 4th-and-3 from the Tennessee 26 instead of kicking a field goal resulted in a turnover on downs, a critical missed scoring opportunity that could have changed the game's outcome.
With new defensive leadership after Pittman's firing, the defense is still adapting, which is challenging against a tough SEC schedule. Expect growing pains against Texas A&M.
DeSean Bishop ran for a career-high 146 yards and a TD before leaving with a leg injury, but Peyton Lewis stepped in and scored two TDs, showing the Vols have reliable options in the backfield.
Tennessee allowed 131 rushing yards to Arkansas' Mike Washington, and with upcoming games against Alabama, Kentucky, and Oklahoma, the run defense must tighten up to compete.
The Vols were flagged 10 times for 78 yards, which could be costly in close SEC matchups, especially on the road against Alabama.
Joey Aguilar threw for 221 yards and a TD, while the running game combined for over 200 yards, giving Tennessee a balanced attack that will be key against tough defenses.
Arkansas travels 574 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Arkansas arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Tennessee won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Arkansas covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 3.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Tennessee (18.0) over Arkansas (9.3) by 8.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Tennessee brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Tennessee won and Arkansas covered the spread.
