@ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @
Week 7 •
DATCU Stadium

South Florida63 @FINAL 36North Texas

4-1 American Power rating: 12.0
5-0 American Power rating: 6.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNT -2.5
PM Implied
UNT -1.4
Blue Chip model
USF -1.2
Edge
-3.7USF
See details
◂ favors USFfavors UNT ▸Market: UNT -2.5
‹ 5.1 USF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UNT
UNT
UNT
no impact
no impact
2 USF2 UNT4 USF4 UNTModel: USF -1.2

Betting information

Spread
UNT -2.5
Total
68.5
Odds implied score
USF 33.0 – 35.5 UNT
Prediction markets
UNT 56% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Florida defeated North Texas 63–36 to secure a comfortable win. South Florida covered by 29.5; Game went Over by 30.5. The market closed at North Texas -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it South Florida -1.2, an edge of 3.7 points toward South Florida.

What were the weather conditions for South Florida vs North Texas?

At kickoff, conditions at DATCU Stadium were Clear, 70°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

South Florida travels 944 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

South Florida arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

South Florida won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

South Florida covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 30.5 points.

How do South Florida and North Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (12.0) over North Texas (6.9) by 5.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, North Texas faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. North Texas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on South Florida and North Texas?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 10, 2025 Game-time

Clear

70°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind7 mph SE
Gusts14 mph
Wind map for South Florida at North Texas: aerial view of DATCU Stadium, wind from the SE at 6.7 mph, gusting to 14.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
DATCU Stadium
Capacity
30,100
Elevation
676 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

South FloridaAway North TexasHome
This week944 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total1,569 miles4,560 miles
Body clock19:3018:30
Rest7 days13 days

Other games this week