26 Final 23 38 Final 61 13 Final 20 30 Final 24 34 Final 6 31 Final 34 34 Final 41 16 Final 35 19 Final 16 38 Final 35 14 Final 28 28 Final 31 38 Final 45 14 Final 42 24 Final 20 13 Final 6 20 Final 59 49 Final 51 23 Final 52 24 Final 37 38 Final 17 24 Final 25 28 Final 27 20 Final 35 10 Final 21 24 Final 27 56 Final 21 31 Final 39 24 Final 31 20 Final 31 49 Final 39 10 Final 13 23 Final 15 10 Final 28 17 Final 34 49 Final 27 17 Final 28 20 Final 24 21 Final 14 13 Final 28 31 Final 35 0 Final 26 31 Final 10 49 Final 56 20 Final 16 24 Final 57 32 Final 38 3 Final 39 17 Final 20 7 Final 24 27 Final 34 17 Final 34 31 Final 30 42 Final 19 16 Final 21 13 Final 21
Week 7 •
BBVA Compass Stadium

Jacksonville State29 @FINAL 27Sam Houston

2-3 CUSA Power rating: -7.6
0-5 CUSA Power rating: -19.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
JXST -7.0
PM Implied
JXST -5.6
Blue Chip model
JXST -9.8
Edge
-2.8JXST
See details
◂ favors JXSTfavors SHSU ▸Market: JXST -7.0
‹ 11.8 JXST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SHSU
JXST
no impact
no impact
SHSU
1 JXST1 SHSU2 JXST2 SHSU3 JXST3 SHSUModel: JXST -9.8

Betting information

Spread
JXST -7.0
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
JXST 30.3 – 23.3 SHSU
Prediction markets
JXST 71% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Jacksonville State defeated Sam Houston 29–27 in a nail-biter. Sam Houston covered by 5.0; Game went Over by 2.5. The market closed at Jacksonville State -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Jacksonville State -9.8, an edge of 2.8 points toward Jacksonville State.

What were the weather conditions for Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston?

At kickoff, conditions at BBVA Compass Stadium were Clear, 80°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Jacksonville State travels 630 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Jacksonville State won by 2 in a nail-biter.

Sam Houston covered the spread.

The total went Over by 2.5 points.

How do Jacksonville State and Sam Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Jacksonville State (-7.6) over Sam Houston (-19.4) by 11.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sam Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Jacksonville State and Sam Houston?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Jacksonville State won and Sam Houston covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 10, 2025 Game-time

Clear

80°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind8 mph ENE
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for Jacksonville State at Sam Houston: aerial view of BBVA Compass Stadium, wind from the ENE at 7.6 mph, gusting to 11.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
BBVA Compass Stadium
Capacity
20,656
Elevation
56 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Jacksonville StateAway Sam HoustonHome
This week630 miles67 miles
Last weekBye week1,339 miles
Season total2,569 miles10,655 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest13 days7 days

Other games this week