Jacksonville State defeated Sam Houston 29–27 in a nail-biter. Sam Houston covered by 5.0; Game went Over by 2.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at BBVA Compass Stadium were Clear, 79.7°F, Heat Index 81.7°F with winds of 7.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
79.7°F
Jacksonville State travels 630 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Jacksonville State won by 2 in a nail-biter.
Sam Houston covered the spread.
The total went Over by 2.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Jacksonville State (-7.6) over Sam Houston (-19.4) by 11.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sam Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Jacksonville State won and Sam Houston covered the spread.
