Week 4
Gesa Field

Washington59 @FINAL 24Washington State , Week 4, Sep 20, 2025

2-0 Big Ten Power rating: 16.0
2-1 Pac-12 Power rating: -1.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WASH -21.0
PM Implied
WASH -15.0
Blue Chip model
WASH -15.5
Edge
+5.5WSU
See details
◂ favors WASHfavors WSU ▸Market: WASH -21.0
‹ 17.4 WASH
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2 WASH2 WSU4 WASH4 WSU6 WASH6 WSUModel: WASH -15.5

Betting information

Spread
WASH -21.0
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
WASH 36.3 – 15.3 WSU
Prediction markets
WASH 91% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Washington defeated Washington State 59–24 in a dominant performance. Washington covered by 14.0; Game went Over by 31.5. The market closed at Washington -21.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Washington -15.5 - a gap of 5.5 points toward Washington State, of which 4.1 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Washington vs Washington State?

Washington State

Quarterback uncertainty and turnovers

The Cougars started Zevi Eckhaus at QB, who threw two interceptions and lost a fumble, contributing to a total of three turnovers. This continues a trend of nine turnovers in four games, severely hampering offensive consistency.

Rushing attack remains a weakness

Washington State managed only 33 rushing yards, ranking among the bottom five in FBS in rushing yards per game. This one-dimensional offense makes them predictable and easier to defend.

Defensive collapse continues

For the second straight week, the Cougars allowed 59 points after holding their first two opponents to 23 combined points. Basic tackling and execution were cited as failures, raising concerns about defensive adjustments.

Bright spot: tight end Bo Baker

Redshirt freshman tight end Bo Baker caught his first collegiate touchdown, showing potential as a red-zone target. However, the offense overall struggled to sustain drives.

Next opponent: Colorado State

Washington State visits Colorado State next Saturday. The Cougars will need to drastically improve ball security, rushing efficiency, and defensive fundamentals to compete against a Rams team that could exploit these weaknesses.

What were the weather conditions for Washington vs Washington State?

At kickoff, conditions at Gesa Field were Clear, 65°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Washington travels 250 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Washington won by 35 in a dominant performance.

Washington covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 31.5 points.

How do Washington and Washington State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Washington (16.0) over Washington State (-1.4) by 17.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Washington State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Washington State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Washington won and Washington covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Clear

65°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity46%
Wind4 mph SSE
Gusts9 mph
Wind map for Washington at Washington State: aerial view of Gesa Field, wind from the SSE at 4 mph, gusting to 8.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
04:30 PM PDT
Venue
Gesa Field
Capacity
32,952
Elevation
2,546 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure WashingtonAway Washington StateHome
This week250 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week2,812 miles
Season total250 miles2,812 miles
Body clock16:3016:30
Rest13 days7 days