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Week 3 •
Scott Stadium

William & Mary16 @FINAL 55Virginia

0-0 CAA Power rating: -20.4
1-1 ACC Power rating: 10.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UVA -30.5
PM Implied
UVA -18.0
Blue Chip model
UVA -33.0
Edge
+2.5UVA
See details
◂ favors W&Mfavors UVA ▸Market: UVA -30.5
31.0 › UVA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UVA
no impact
no impact
no impact
UVA
1 W&M1 UVA2 W&M2 UVAModel: UVA -33.0

Betting information

Spread
UVA -30.5
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
W&M 12.0 – 42.5 UVA
Prediction markets
UVA 96% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Virginia defeated William & Mary 55–16 in a dominant performance. Virginia covered by 8.5; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at Virginia -30.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Virginia -33.0, an edge of 2.5 points toward Virginia.

What are the key factors for William & Mary vs Virginia?

William & Mary

Defensive Struggles Exposed

William & Mary's defense allowed a program-record 700 total yards to Virginia, indicating significant vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit.

Offensive Firepower Lacking

The Tribe's offense was unable to keep pace with Virginia's high-scoring attack, suggesting they may struggle against teams with strong offensive capabilities.

Need for Defensive Adjustments

Given the defensive breakdown, William & Mary must focus on improving coverage and run defense to be competitive in future games.

Special Teams and Turnovers

The recap did not highlight any special teams or turnover advantages for William & Mary, areas that could be critical for an upset in upcoming matchups.

What were the weather conditions for William & Mary vs Virginia?

At kickoff, conditions at Scott Stadium were Sunny, 82°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

William & Mary travels 112 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Virginia won by 39 in a dominant performance.

Virginia covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do William & Mary and Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Virginia (10.6) over William & Mary (-20.4) by 31.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Virginia brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on William & Mary and Virginia?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Virginia won and Virginia covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

82°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity42%
Wind4 mph SE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for William & Mary at Virginia: aerial view of Scott Stadium, wind from the SE at 3.8 mph, gusting to 4.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EDT
Venue
Scott Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
545 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

William & MaryAway VirginiaHome
This week112 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week308 miles
Season total112 miles308 miles
Body clock12:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days

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