Boise State defeated UNLV 38–21 to secure a comfortable win. Boise State covered by 11.0; Game went Under by 0.5.

Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Albertsons Stadium were Moderate or heavy rain shower, 43.9°F, Wind Chill 38.3°F with winds of 1.1 mph. Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
43.9°F
UNLV travels 521 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
UNLV arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Boise State won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.
Boise State covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 0.5 points.
Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Boise State (11.5) over UNLV (-1.2) by 12.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Boise State won and Boise State covered the spread.