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Week 15 •
Bridgeforth Stadium

Troy14 @FINAL 31James Madison

8-4 Sun Belt Power rating: -2.1
11-1 Sun Belt Power rating: 12.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
JMU -24.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
JMU -17.2
Edge
-7.3TROY
See details
◂ favors TROYfavors JMU ▸Market: JMU -24.5
15.0 › JMU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
JMU
no impact
no impact
no impact
TROY
5 TROY5 JMUModel: JMU -17.2

Betting information

Spread
JMU -24.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
TROY 11.5 – 36.0 JMU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

James Madison defeated Troy 31–14 to secure a comfortable win. Troy covered by 7.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at James Madison -24.5 and the Blue Chip model made it James Madison -17.2 - a gap of 7.3 points toward Troy, of which 6.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Troy vs James Madison?

At kickoff, conditions at Bridgeforth Stadium were Mist, 19°F, wind chill 17°F with winds of 2 mph. At 19°F this is an extreme cold-weather game, and scoring environments this harsh are outside the range most offenses have played in this season. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Troy travels 608 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Troy arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

James Madison won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Troy covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do Troy and James Madison compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor James Madison (12.9) over Troy (-2.1) by 15.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. James Madison brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Troy and James Madison?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

James Madison won and Troy covered the spread.

Conditions

as of December 6, 2025 Game-time

Mist

19°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind2 mph S
Gusts3 mph
Wind chill17°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Troy at James Madison: aerial view of Bridgeforth Stadium, wind from the S at 1.6 mph, gusting to 3.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 15
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EST
Venue
Bridgeforth Stadium
Capacity
24,877
Elevation
1,319 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

TroyAway James MadisonHome
This week608 miles0 miles
Last week404 miles640 miles
Season total6,757 miles5,295 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest7 days7 days

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