DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Indiana defeated Ohio State 13–10 in a nail-biter. Indiana covered by 6.5; Game went Under by 22.5. The market closed at Ohio State -3.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ohio State -0.3 - a gap of 3.2 points toward Indiana, of which 3.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Ohio State's offense, led by Julian Sayin, managed only 10 points and failed to convert a critical fourth-and-1 from the Indiana 5-yard line late in the third quarter, which was overturned on review. This inability to finish drives cost them the game.
The Buckeyes defense held Indiana to 13 points and forced a turnover, but they allowed a key 17-yard touchdown pass on Indiana's first possession of the third quarter, which proved to be the game-winning score.
Kicker Jayden Fielding missed a 29-yard field goal wide left with 2:48 remaining, which would have tied the game. This miss was a decisive factor in the loss.
Julian Sayin showed signs of inexperience, missing reads and throws at times, and finished 21 of 29 for 258 yards with one touchdown and one interception. His performance was inconsistent against a tough Indiana defense.
Despite the loss, Ohio State is likely to secure the No. 2 seed in the College Football Playoff with a first-round bye. However, the team must address offensive consistency and special teams reliability to compete for a national championship.
This game was played indoors at Lucas Oil Stadium in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.
Indoor, climate controlled
~72°F
Lucas Oil Stadium is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.
| Measure | IndianaAway | Ohio StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 44 miles | 168 miles |
| Last week | 178 miles | 322 miles |
| Season total | 6,641 miles | 6,265 miles |
| Body clock | 20:00 | 20:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 8 days |
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