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Week 15 •
AT&T StadiumNeutral siteIndoor

BYU7 @FINAL 34Texas Tech

11-1 Big 12 Power rating: 21.8
11-1 Big 12 Power rating: 24.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TTU -12.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TTU -2.2
Edge
-10.3BYU
See details
◂ favors BYUfavors TTU ▸Market: TTU -12.5
TTU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 BYU5 TTU10 BYU10 TTUModel: TTU -2.2

Betting information

Spread
TTU -12.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
BYU 19.0 – 31.5 TTU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas Tech defeated BYU 34–7 to secure a comfortable win. Texas Tech covered by 14.5; Game went Under by 9.5. The market closed at Texas Tech -12.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas Tech -2.2 - a gap of 10.3 points toward BYU, of which 10.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for BYU vs Texas Tech?

Texas Tech

Dominant Defensive Performance

Texas Tech's defense held BYU to a season-low 200 total yards, forced four turnovers, and recorded two interceptions by Ben Roberts. This unit has been the Big 12's best all season and is a key strength heading into the CFP.

Big 12 Championship and CFP Implications

With a 34-7 win, Texas Tech secured its first Big 12 title and likely a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff. The team is expected to be placed in a quarterfinal game around Dec. 31 or Jan. 1, possibly at the Cotton Bowl.

Offensive Efficiency and Key Plays

Quarterback Behren Morton threw two touchdown passes to Coy Eakin, including a spectacular 33-yard leaping catch. Kicker Stone Harrington added four field goals, and the offense capitalized on turnovers, scoring after interceptions.

Injury Resilience and Depth

Linebacker Ben Roberts overcame an early hip/abdomen injury to record two interceptions in the second half. The team's depth and ability to overcome adversity were crucial, as Roberts returned to make game-changing plays.

Transfer Portal Success and Team Investment

Texas Tech's significant investment in the transfer portal has paid off, transforming the defense and overall roster. The team's 12-1 record and championship reflect the success of this strategy, with key contributors like Jacob Rodriguez and Ben Roberts.

What were the weather conditions for BYU vs Texas Tech?

This game was played indoors at AT&T Stadium in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

BYU travels 960 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

BYU arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Texas Tech won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas Tech covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

How do BYU and Texas Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (24.0) over BYU (21.8) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on BYU and Texas Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas Tech won and Texas Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

AT&T Stadium is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for BYU at Texas Tech: aerial view of AT&T Stadium

Quick facts

Week
Week 15
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CST
Venue
AT&T Stadium
Capacity
80,000
Elevation
568 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

BYUAway Texas TechHome
This week960 miles283 miles
Last weekHome game2,568 miles
Season total12,721 miles7,397 miles
Body clock10:0011:00
Rest7 days7 days

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