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Week 12 •
Kroger Field

Tennessee Tech10 @FINAL 42Kentucky

0-0 OVC-Big South Power rating: -14.1
4-5 SEC Power rating: 7.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UK -22.5
PM Implied
UK -15.9
Blue Chip model
UK -24.2
Edge
+1.7UK
See details
◂ favors TNTCfavors UK ▸Market: UK -22.5
22.0 › UK
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UK
no impact
no impact
no impact
TNTC
1 TNTC1 UK2 TNTC2 UK3 TNTC3 UKModel: UK -24.2

Betting information

Spread
UK -22.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
TNTC 15.0 – 37.5 UK
Prediction markets
UK 92% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Kentucky defeated Tennessee Tech 42–10 in a dominant performance. Kentucky covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 0.5. The market closed at Kentucky -22.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Kentucky -24.2, an edge of 1.7 points toward Kentucky.

What were the weather conditions for Tennessee Tech vs Kentucky?

At kickoff, conditions at Kroger Field were Overcast, 63°F with winds of 20 mph. Wind of 20 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 33 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Tennessee Tech travels 139 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Tennessee Tech arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Kentucky won by 32 in a dominant performance.

Kentucky covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 0.5 points.

How do Tennessee Tech and Kentucky compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kentucky (7.9) over Tennessee Tech (-14.1) by 22.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kentucky brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tennessee Tech and Kentucky?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Kentucky won and Kentucky covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

63°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity79%
Wind20 mph SW
Gusts33 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Tennessee Tech at Kentucky: aerial view of Kroger Field, wind from the SW at 20.4 mph, gusting to 32.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
01:30 PM EST
Venue
Kroger Field
Capacity
61,000
Elevation
1,004 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Tennessee TechAway KentuckyHome
This week139 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total139 miles2,013 miles
Body clock12:3013:30
Rest7 days6 days

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