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Week 10 •
Rice-Eccles Stadium

Cincinnati14 @FINAL 45Utah

7-1 Big 12 Power rating: 12.9
6-2 Big 12 Power rating: 24.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UTAH -11.5
PM Implied
UTAH -7.7
Blue Chip model
UTAH -15.6
Edge
+4.1UTAH
See details
◂ favors CINfavors UTAH ▸Market: UTAH -11.5
11.3 › UTAH
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UTAH
no impact
UTAH
UTAH
no impact
2 CIN2 UTAH4 CIN4 UTAHModel: UTAH -15.6

Betting information

Spread
UTAH -11.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
CIN 23.0 – 34.5 UTAH
Prediction markets
UTAH 78% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Utah defeated Cincinnati 45–14 in a dominant performance. Utah covered by 19.5; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at Utah -11.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Utah -15.6 - a gap of 4.1 points toward Utah, of which 2.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Cincinnati vs Utah?

Cincinnati

Turnovers and Defensive Struggles

Cincinnati committed three turnovers and failed to get consistent stops, allowing Utah to control the game with 480 total yards and 267 rushing yards. This defensive breakdown led to a 45-14 loss.

Inefficient Passing Game

Quarterback Brendan Sorsby completed only 33% of his passes despite throwing for 221 yards and a touchdown. The low completion rate hindered the offense's ability to sustain drives and keep pace with Utah.

Rushing Attack Fades After Strong Start

Cincinnati rushed for 119 yards in the first quarter but was held to just 87 yards the rest of the game. The inability to maintain a ground game contributed to the team's offensive imbalance.

Special Teams Miss

Kicker Stephen Rusnak missed a 42-yard field goal early in the second quarter, his first miss of the season. This missed opportunity could have cut Utah's lead to four points and shifted momentum.

Big 12 Title Hopes Diminished

The loss drops Cincinnati to 5-1 in Big 12 play, one game behind undefeated BYU. With a bye week ahead, the Bearcats need to regroup before hosting Arizona on Nov. 15 to stay in contention.

Utah

Dominant rushing attack and time of possession

Utah rushed for 267 yards and held the ball for 21 more minutes than Cincinnati, controlling the game with long drives and wearing down the defense.

Devon Dampier's efficient passing

Dampier threw for 213 yards and two touchdowns, completing key passes to Ryan Davis (132 yards, TD) and managing the offense effectively.

Wayshawn Parker's breakout continues

Parker recorded his second straight 100-yard rushing game (104 yards, TD), emerging as a reliable lead back and surpassing 600 yards on the season.

Big plays on special teams and defense

Mana Carvalho's 75-yard punt return for a touchdown and a defense that forced three turnovers and held Cincinnati to 87 rushing yards after the first quarter were critical.

Big 12 championship hopes alive

The win keeps Utah in contention for a Big 12 title game berth, with the team motivated by the goal of reaching the championship.

What were the weather conditions for Cincinnati vs Utah?

At kickoff, conditions at Rice-Eccles Stadium were Clear, 53°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Cincinnati travels 1,450 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Utah won by 31 in a dominant performance.

Utah covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

How do Cincinnati and Utah compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah (24.2) over Cincinnati (12.9) by 11.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Cincinnati and Utah?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Utah won and Utah covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 2, 2025 Game-time

Clear

53°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity22%
Wind5 mph SE
Gusts9 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Cincinnati at Utah: aerial view of Rice-Eccles Stadium, wind from the SE at 4.5 mph, gusting to 9.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
08:15 PM MDT
Venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Capacity
51,444
Elevation
4,656 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

CincinnatiAway UtahHome
This week1,450 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total5,112 miles5,237 miles
Body clock22:1520:15
Rest8 days7 days

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