Week 10 • November 01, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
4-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 7.8
3 FINAL 30
4-4
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.3
Baylor covered by 22.5 | Game went Under by 27.5

Baylor defeated UCF 30–3 to secure a comfortable win.

UCF @ Baylor Preview

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Capacity: 45,140
Elevation: 404 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -4.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score UCF 28.0 - 32.5 BAY
Power Rank Implied Line Baylor +2.5
Prediction Markets Baylor 61% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

54.7°F

Wind Chill: 51.9°F
Wind: 11.0 mph SW
Gusts: 14.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 48%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UCF (Away)

This Week: 974.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8569.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Baylor (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1762.3 miles
Season Total: 2733.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Baylor -4.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UCF 7.8
Baylor 10.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 974 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest UCF +7
HFA: McLane Stadium
Capacity 45,140
Elevation 404 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 54.7°F
Wind Speed 11.0 mph
Your Line Baylor +2.5
Implied Value

What are the key factors for UCF vs Baylor?

UCF: Key Factors

Baylor: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UCF travels 974 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UCF arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Baylor won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

Baylor covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 27.5 points.

How do UCF and Baylor compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Baylor (10.3) over UCF (7.8) by 2.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Baylor brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Baylor won and Baylor covered the spread.